Strategy for UncertaintyLeading complex systems when the future won't hold still
Everything you need to see, unstick, and shift your complex system.
Determine what's keeping your system stuck, sense what's changing, and craft interventions that build your teams adaptive capacity and catalyze systems change.
I looked for practical systems change frameworks. Nothing hit the mark.
The frameworks I found didn't match the systems I was in. So I built this course, community, Playbook, and the WEAVER framework.
Certainty and neat causality
Systems that are uncertain and adaptive
Technology as the driver of change
People, power, and tech continually shaping one another
Trust, power, and relationships as abstractions
Trust, power, and relationships as the levers of transformation
WEAVER: a lens for seeing your system, and a process for changing it.
A weaver "turns discrete threads into coherent patterns." WEAVER moves leaders away from prediction and control and toward stewardship, learning, and adaptive capacity. Click a letter.
Widen the Lens
Start from the problem as it's already been defined — inheriting linear cause-and-effect thinking that masks complexity and makes the status quo feel inevitable.
Surface how your system is currently being seen — by you and by others in it. Make visible the assumptions that shape what feels normal, obvious, or inevitable.
Tactics you can put to work Monday morning.
A highly interactive four-week course, built to get you out of your system funk and into practice.
See your system clearly
Hover to learn more →Cut through hype. Surface the assumptions, frames, and narratives shaping what feels inevitable in your system — and map the actor network to see how power actually flows.
Anticipate how tech & power reshape it
Hover to learn more →Move from forecasting to directional futures: shared orientations that guide decisions under uncertainty, so your strategy stays adaptive and resilient rather than brittle.
Craft interventions that shift behavior
Hover to learn more →Redesign the routines, incentives, feedback loops, and constraints that reproduce existing outcomes — and build the relational infrastructure that lets the system keep evolving after you step back.
From the people who've taken it.
Tech & society leaders — which, increasingly, is everyone.
Every organization I talk to is feeling the vertigo of technological change. Everyone's being told to come up with an "AI strategy," but that's the wrong question. The better one: what future do we want to realize, and what needs to change in our system to move in that direction?
Struggling to align public interest tech programs and grants toward collective action.
Who see how people, power, and tech shape one another — but need practical strategies and tools to guide the work.
Aiming to shift the status quo inside your company on trust & safety issues.
Who already think in systems but need frameworks for practical interventions.
Take the Strategy for Uncertainty Diagnostic first.
Fifty-four statements across eight themes, built on the WEAVER framework. The low scores tell you which sessions will matter most.
The WEAVER framework, in plain words.
A lens for seeing your system and a process for changing it: Widen the lens · Examine the frames · Align directional futures · Visualize the actor network · Enact new interactions · Reinforce relational infrastructure.
What is the WEAVER framework?
A six-step approach to systems change that moves leaders away from prediction and control and toward stewardship, learning, and adaptive capacity — surfacing the frames that make the status quo feel inevitable, mapping how power actually flows, and redesigning the routines and incentives that reproduce existing outcomes.
How much does Strategy for Uncertainty cost?
$1,200. Annual Untangled members pay $600. Reduced-price spots are available at $750 — get in touch.
Who is it for?
Funders, technologists, policy, product and partnership leaders, and scholars and consultants who already think in systems but need practical frameworks to intervene.
What do I get?
Eight hours of live, interactive sessions; a 200-page playbook with 30+ exercises; a 1:1 coaching session; a capstone Customized Systems Change Plan with personal feedback; a private community of practice; and a year of Untangled.
Where has this course been taught?
At Harvard University and to more than 100 leaders from organizations including New_ Public, Discord, the Siegel Family Endowment, the Annie E. Casey Foundation, Stanford PACS, Fundação Lemann, and Fundación Karisma.
Pick the price that fits.
Everything in the course, including the 1:1 coaching session and a year of Untangled.
Members save $600. Not a member yet? Join first and the discount more than covers it.
I reserve a small number of spots for participants who can't afford the full price. If that's you, please get in touch.
Frequently asked
What is the WEAVER framework?
A lens for seeing a system and a process for changing it: Widen the lens; Examine the frames; Align directional futures; Visualize the actor network; Enact new interactions; Reinforce relational infrastructure.
How much does Strategy for Uncertainty cost?
$1,200. Annual Untangled members pay $600. Reduced-price spots are available at $750.
Who is it for?
Funders, technologists, policy and product leaders, and scholars and consultants who think in systems but need practical tools to intervene.
What do I get?
Eight hours of live sessions, a 200-page playbook with 30+ exercises, a 1:1 coaching session, a capstone systems change plan with feedback, a private community, and a year of Untangled.
How can I help?
Questions about the course, a reduced-price spot, or a tailored training for your team — tell me a little and I'll be in touch.